Problem 6:
Hot supernova gases can't condense into iron particles in just
7000 years. I also agree with the blog correspondent named
Günther who questions whether supernovae can produce iron-rich
particles within the 7000 years time that it would take for these
particles to reach the solar system after crossing a distance
of 250 light years at 10,000 km/s. He notes:
"Investigations performed
by radioastronomic and astrophysical research over decades has
revealed that if a supernovae explodes, it does this at extremely
high temperatures (many millions of kelvin), and that it casts
ejectae into space at speeds of up to 40000 km/s. At such a temperature,
these ejectae are not solid matter, but are a hot plasma which
is at a high pressure. Driven by this pressure the cloud of plasma
travels out into space, where it expands and reduces its pressure.
As it expands, it collides with the cooler interstellar matter
that surrounds location of the supernova.
This collision creates a hot shock front that
moves through the interstellar matter, collecting that matter
and filling up its former location with the matter from the supernova.
According to these scientists, it takes hundreds of thousands
of years until the ongoing collision with the interstellar matter
has reduced the speed of expansion to a rate equal to that of
the average speed of interstellar matter. Then the shock front
dies away and cools down, and the matter of the ejectae is able
to cool down to some thousand kelvin.
Only that cool, the matter is able to do the transition from
its plasma state to form atoms. At that state, the matter ejected
from the supernova may fill a sphere with a radius of many light
years. That is a huge volume, and the density of the matter within
this volume is extremely low.
It takes another hundred of thousands of years
until micron-sized dust particles may start to grow in this thin
matter, and it takes further millions of years for these particles
to create larger particles, which break up again, as they collide
with each other in the long course of time. It takes extremely
long time to form bodies from an environment which contains only
a few atoms per cubic inch. Thus, the estimation of 7000 years
for this process, as proposed by the researchers, is far too
low. The matter ejected from a supernova explosion requires much
more time to cool down and form particles, if it will form any
particles at all. I never read a report on or heard of a comet
that may have grown in a short time. It very much looks like
physics simply do not allow this."
Günther: http://www.bautforum.com/archive/index.php/t-1180.html%3C/t-33032.html
Problem 7:
Insufficient supernova buckshot. From the pictures that Firestone,
West, and Warwick-Smith show in their book, we learn that these
iron grains ranged from half to two millimeters in size and were
spaced on the average roughly 5 centimeters from one another.
This implies a particle mass flux of approximately 1 to 5 milligrams
per square centimeter. They found this pitting in one tusk out
of 70. So let us reduce our mass flux estimate by two orders
of magnitude. This gives a flux of about 10 micrograms per square
centimeter. Clearly, this is far greater than could be supplied
from the 41 kyrs b2k supernova. For if one percent of the supernova
progenitor star's mass were composed of ferrous metals that later
condensed to form this shower of pellets, this amounts to only
0.2 nanograms per cm2 if uniformly spread over a 250
light year sphere. So, to get the kind of tusk peppering they
observed they would have needed one hundred thousand times more
matter than it was possible to get out of their supernova explosion.
Again, they could assume that Earth had the misfortune of being
hit by a high density cluster of this supernova buckshot, but
this proportionately reduces the likelihood that this would have
happened.
Problem 8: Such high speeds not needed for tusk pitting. A speed of 10,000 km/s is far higher than needed
to explain the hypervelocity impact craters found in the mammoth
tusks. While experiments showed that the tusks could not be penetrated
by pellets fired from a shotgun at 1000 kilometers per hour (i.e.,
at 0.3 kilometers/second), speeds an order of magnitude greater
such as a few kilometers per second, typical of micrometeorite
velocities, should have been sufficient. This seems quite reasonable
considering that Topping (1999)
determined that speeds of just 340 meters per second were sufficient
to create pits in cherts. It is apparent that speeds 10,000 fold
higher, of the sort proposed by Firestone and West, are entirely
uncalled for. They seem to have chosen this 3% c relativistic
velocity primarily as a desperate attempt to make their supernova
model account for the C-14 peaks present in the Icelandic marine
record.
Problem 9: Supernova remnant observations do not support
their hypervelocity speed model. The
Firestone-West supernova remnant expansion scenario has the problem
that 7000 year old supernova remnants are not observed to have
such high ejecta speeds (104 km/s). Such speeds are
over two orders of magnitude too high for remnants of this age.
Neither would the ejecta in a 28,000 year old remnant (41,000
years BP minus 13,000 years BP) be expected to have speeds as
high as 2100 - 2700 km/s, as required by the Firestone-West theory.
Delaney and Rudnick (2003) have
simulated the expansion of Cassiopeia A, a 335 year old supernova
remnant that is currently 11 light years in diameter and that
was formed by a relatively energetic supernova explosion. Its
initial expansion rate is projected to have been on the order
of 15,000 km/s which at its present age of 335 years has dropped
to about 4000 to 9000 km/s. They project that at an age of 1000
years Cas A's expansion rate will have dropped to about 2000
km/s. Projecting this trend into the future one would expect
the expansion rate to continue to drop reaching only some tens
of kilometers per second by the time it reaches an age of 7000
years. So a similarly low speed would be expected for a 7000
year old remnant in the Sun's vicinity.
If Firestone and West had a good reason to assume
a relativistic remnant expansion velocity at the time of terrestrial
impact, they should have proposed a much more compact and much
younger supernova remnant, say one positioned 60 times closer
to Earth (4 light years away), placing it as close as the nearest
star Alpha Centauri. Although an explosion this close to Earth
would statistically have been a million times less probable,
it would be entirely permissible for them to postulate high velocity
supernova ejecta coming from a supernova remnant shell as compact
and young as this. However, a 10,000 km/s blast would then take
only 100 years to reach Earth and if this was followed by their
proposed secondary 2700 km/s blast, this second onslaught would
arrive only 300 years later. So their hopes of simultaneously
accounting for three C-14 anomalies in the geologic record, at
41 kyrs BP, 34 kyrs BP, and 13 kyrs BP would be entirely dashed.
Problem 10: No evidence of the alleged hypervelocity
supernova shell. There is also the
concern that Firestone and West present no evidence for the current
location in the heavens of their alleged supernova remnant shell.
If ionized supernova remnant material were traveling outward
at thousands of kilometers per second, this redshift signature
would have been easily detected and should have been known to
astronomers. By now, the forefront of the remnant, if it continued
outward at 10,000 km/s should have produced a shell diameter
of some 350 light years and its inner surface should be positioned
about 80 light years away. But there have been no reports of
such. By comparison the North Polar Spur remnant, which the superwave
theory assumes as the source of the cometary material currently
surrounding the solar system, is a remnant whose existence is
very well documented.
Firestone, West, and Warwick-Smith (2006)
suggest that the Geminga supernova which they propose for this
41,000 year old event swept out a low density pocket in the interstellar
medium and they identify this with the the Local Bubble that
surrounds the Sun. As mentioned earlier under Problem
2, sweeping out such a cavity would have substantially decelerated
their remnant, raising the problem of delaying the remnant's
arrival. It seems more plausible that the Sun itself created
this cavity, the bubble being the aftermath of a high velocity
solar wind that once blew with extreme ferocity at the close
of the last ice age. For as we know from the lunar rock evidence
of Zook, et al. (1977), the Sun's
flaring activity was extremely high at that time. A highly energetic
solar wind, strong enough to clear out a low density region around
the Sun would explain why this bubble has its long axis aligned
with the Sun's poles. For the solar wind moves outward at its
highest velocity at the Sun's poles, being least impeded there
by the solar magnetic field.
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